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Research Papers

The effectiveness of incorporating higher moments in portfolio strategies: evidence from the Chinese commodity futures markets

, , &
Pages 653-668 | Received 18 Nov 2018, Accepted 25 Oct 2019, Published online: 27 Nov 2019
 

Abstract

This paper examines portfolio strategies that incorporate individual and systematic higher-order moments, within a stochastic optimization framework with uncertain mean and covariance. Using weekly, daily, and 30-minute interval data on Chinese commodity futures, we show that incorporating higher moments into portfolio strategies generally leads to better performance. The systematic fourth-order moment, among all systematic moments considered, can lead to the most robust, and a relatively large, improvement in investment performance, while the contribution of individual moments to the improved performance depends on the data horizon. We also find that adding higher moments brings superior performance in more cases for 30-minute-interval data than for other low-frequency data, suggesting that our strategy most likely performs best in 30-minute-rebalancing investments.

Acknowledgments

We thank the anonymous reviewers of this journal for their helpful comments. Liu acknowledges the financial support from the National Nature Science Funds of China (71871066) and Shanghai Pujiang Program (17PJC009). An acknowledges the support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (nos 71973056, 71561011). Yunbi An is the corresponding author.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

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